Zogby International

Released: November 04, 2004

Zogby International Made Right Calls in Battlegrounds: Accurately Called Bush Ohio Victory; Predicted Daschle Defeat; Foresaw Senate Race Outcomes

Polling firm Zogby International accurately predicted President Bush's Ohio victory, as well as the defeat of Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle in South Dakota, and accurately forecast the outcome of every Senate race in our final battleground poll, conducted October 29 through November 1, 2004. The margin of error was +/- 4.1 percentage points.


PRESIDENTIAL VOTE -2004

STATE	BUSH	KERRY

CO-Actual	53%	46%
CO-Zogby	49%	47%

FL-Actual	52%	47%
FL-Zogby	48%	48%

IA-Actual	50%	49%
IA-Zogby	45%	50%

MI-Actual	48%	51%
MI-Zogby	46%	52%

MN-Actual	48%	51%
MN-Zogby	45%	51%

NV-Actual	51%	48%
NV-Zogby	50%	45%

NM-Actual	50%	49%
NM-Zogby	48%	51%

OH-Actual	51%	49%
OH-Zogby	49%	43%

PA-Actual	49%	51%
PA-Zogby	46%	50%

WI-Actual	49%	50%
WI-Zogby	45%	51%

** Zogby FINAL Oct. 29-Nov. 1, MOE +/- 4.1


SENATE RACES

	DASCHLE	THUNE
SD-Actual	49%	51%
SD-Zogby	46%	48%
Oct 25-26 MOE +/- 3.5

	SALAZAR	COORS
CO-Actual	51%	47%
CO-Zogby	52%	44%
Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

	MARTINEZ	CASTOR
FL-Actual	50%	48%
FL-Zogby	48%	43%
Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

	GRASSLEY	SMALL
IA-Actual	70%	28%
IA-Zogby	69%	20%
Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

	REID	ZISER
NV-Actual	61%	35%
NV-Zogby	57%	34%
Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

	VOINOVICH	FINGERHUT
OH-Actual	64%	36%
OH-Zogby	56%	32%
Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

	SPECTER	HOEFFEL
PA-Actual	53%	42%
PA-Zogby	53%	32%
Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

	FEINGOLD	MICHELS
WI-Actual	56%	44%
WI-Zogby	58%	38%
Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

(11/4/2004)

Tags: US | Politics

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Zogby International Made Right Calls in Battlegrounds: Accurately Called Bush Ohio Victory; Predicted Daschle Defeat; Foresaw Senate Race Outcomes

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