February 09, 2010
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Maine Voters Split on Healthcare
Zogby International survey finds opposition trumps support, but barely
UTICA, New York--Two-in-five likely Maine voters (39%) support the healthcare bill now making its way through Congress, while 44% oppose the measure and 18% are undecided. Support for healthcare reform breaks evenly across party lines.
Do you support or oppose the healthcare bill proposed by President Obama now making its way through Congress?
|
|
Overall |
DEM |
IND |
GOP |
|
Strongly Support |
23 |
48 |
12 |
4 |
|
Somewhat Support |
16 |
25 |
15 |
7 |
|
Somewhat Oppose |
13 |
5 |
20 |
13 |
|
Strongly Oppose |
30 |
7 |
30 |
60 |
|
Not Sure |
18 |
15 |
22 |
17 |
A third of likely voters say they would be less likely to vote for Senators Collins (33%) or Snowe (31%) if they voted in favor of the healthcare bill; nearly half say that such a vote by Senator Collins (43%) or Senator Snowe (45%) would make no difference. Forty percent of democratic voters say they would be more likely to consider voting for Senator Snowe, while 35 percent would be more likely to vote for Senator Collins if they voted in favor of the bill.
Both Republican Senators from Maine hold high favorability rates among Democrats, Republicans and Independents. Senator Olympia Snowe currently holds an 84% favorability rating with 15% viewing her unfavorably. Senator Susan Collins holds a 77% favorability rating with 22% viewing her unfavorably.
After being read a brief statement describing both supporting and opposing positions on the healthcare bill, support for the bill holds at 39% while opposition increases to 52%.
Zogby International was commissioned by the League of American Voters to conduct a telephone survey of 502 likely voters in Maine. The survey was conducted between November 19th and 20th 2009. Samples were randomly drawn from telephone CDs of national listed sample. Zogby International surveys employ sampling strategies in which selection probabilities are proportional to population size within area codes and exchanges. Up to six calls are made to reach a sampled phone number. Cooperation rates are calculated using one of AAPOR's approved methodologies[1] and are comparable to other professional public-opinion surveys conducted using similar sampling strategies.[2] Weighting by region, party, age, race and gender is used to adjust for non-response. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.
For full survey results, click here.
[1] See COOP4 (p.38) in Standard Definitions: Final Dispositions of Case Codes and Outcome Rates of Surveys. The American Association for Public Opinion Research, (2000).
[2] Cooperation Tracking Study: April 2003 Update, Jane M. Sheppard and Shelly Haas. The Council for Marketing & Opinion Research (CMOR). Cincinnati, Ohio (2003).
(11/23/2009)
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