Election 2004 Reuters/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll:

(For Subscribers Only)

Bush 48%, Kerry 47%,
New Reuters/Zogby Poll Reveals

President Bush is holding steady at 48% and Democratic challenger, Senator John Kerry lost one point, bringing him to 47%, according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll. The poll data this evening has leaners factored into the overall results. The telephone poll of 1208 likely voters was conducted from Friday through Sunday (October 29-31, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

 

Days Until Presidential Election

 

2 Days

3 Days

4 Days

5 Days

6 Days

Presidential Candidates

Oct. 29-
31

Oct. 28-
30

Oct. 27-
29

Oct. 26-
28

Oct. 25-
27

Republican—George W. Bush

48

48

46

47

48

Democratic—John Kerry

47

48

47

47

46

Independent—Ralph Nader

1.2

1.2

1.8

1.4

1.2

Libertarian—Michael Badnarik

--

--

.2

.2

.2

Constitution—Michael Peroutka

.2

.1

.3

.3

.3

Green—David Cobb

--

.2

.2

.3

--

Other

.5

.7

.7

.7

.4

Undecided

3

2

3

3

4

 * Leaners have been factored in to the results. Without leaners factored in: Bush 46%, Kerry 46%, Nader .9%, Undecideds 6%

 

2000—Days Until Presidential Election

Presidential Candidates

2 Days

3 Days

4 Days

5 Days

6 Days

Republican—George W. Bush

47

46

46

45

45

Democratic—Al Gore

46

44

42

42

42

Green—Ralph Nader

5

5

6

5

5

Undecided

7

7

7

7

7

 Favorable/Unfavorable Ratings of Candidates (%)

 

Favorability Rating

Presidential Candidates

Favorable %

Unfavorable %

Republican—George W. Bush

55↑

45 --

Democrat—John Kerry

52--

47↑

 President’s Job Performance Rating (%)

 

President’s Job Performance

 

Oct. 29-31

Oct. 28-30

Oct. 27-29

Oct. 26-28

Oct. 25-27

Approve

47

46

46

47

49

Disapprove

53

53

53

52

50

Undecided

.3

.3

.3

.5

.5

U.S. Direction—Right or Wrong (%)

 

U.S. Direction

 

Oct. 29-31

Oct. 28-30

Oct. 27-29

Oct. 26-28

Oct. 25-27

Right Direction

45

46

45

46

47

Wrong Track

47

47

47

46

46

Undecided

8

7

8

7

8

President’s Re-Elect or Time for Someone New (%)

 

President’s Re-Election

 

Oct. 29-31

Oct. 28-30

Oct. 27-29

Oct. 26-28

Oct. 25-27

Re-Elect

46

47

46

47

48

Someone New

50

50

50

48

47

Undecided

4

4

4

5

5

 Top Issues

Top Issues for Voters

Jobs/Economy

   28--

War on Terror

20↓

War in Iraq

19↓

Healthcare

11--

Education

     3--

Zogby International conducted interviews of 1208 likely voters chosen at random nationwide. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from October 29 through October 31, 2004. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender, to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.

In 1996, John Zogby came within one-tenth of 1 percent of the presidential result, and was one of the first pollsters to accurately foresee Vice President Al Gore’s popular-vote victory in 2000. Zogby has polled for Reuters News Agency, the largest news agency in the world. The latest results and analysis of the Zogby polls, and exclusive interviews with John Zogby are available on Reuters.com. The site provides comprehensive coverage of the campaigns, including a special
video service, which compares the position of both candidates on key policy issues.