November 21, 2009

Released: October 29, 2009

Dividing And Conquering In State Races

Three November elections with national impact.

This may be an off-year election, but two governor's races and one congressional district are making national news. From my perspective, there will be three themes coming out of Tuesday's governor races in New Jersey and Virginia, and the election to fill a vacant House seat in northern New York state.

First, most elections are seen as a referendum on the president, and that's especially true for Barack Obama, who in his first year in office is taking up major issues. Second, two of the races, for New Jersey governor and New York's 23rd Congressional District seat, include third-party candidates, and how well they do will have significance. Third, the congressional election is splitting the national Republican Party, with some big names in the GOP backing the third-party candidate.

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(10/29/2009)

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