At Zogby International, our polling suggests that the so-called Wilder or Bradley effect is not likely to be a factor in the presidential race this year. These "effects" are named for two African-American politicians--former Virginia Gov. Douglas Wilder and California's Tom Bradley. Wilder, who in 1989 was running for governor of Virginia and led polls in that race by 15 points as close as two weeks prior to the general election, won by only 6,700 votes. Bradley, in 1982, led in the polls for governor of California, but lost the election.

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(10/7/2008)