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Posts Tagged ‘war’

Obama Support Holding Steady

November 13th, 2009

The latest Zogby approval numbers for Obama are out and show Obama’s overall job approval rating at 49%, a number unchanged from the last time we asked about Obama’s job approval three weeks ago on October 19. While ratings of Obama among core supporters such as First Globals™, Democrats, and Liberals remain high, ratings among independents have dipped slightly, from 47% approval on September 28, to 43% on October 19, to 40% on our most recent survey. Pollster John Zogby notes that “inside this poll are warning signs for the President…given his drop among independents, who our polling finds include many conservatives, the President has little slack to give from his base.”

The complete press release can be read here. What are your feelings on these numbers? Should Obama be worried about the decline in approval among independents if his overall approval remains steady?

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Katy first globals , , , , , ,

Obama’s Afghan Dilemma

November 12th, 2009

Today, the politics of Afghanistan are Obama’s problem, and what he said during the campaign now gives him much less room to maneuver in Afghanistan, especially politically.

A Zogby Interactive poll of nearly 2,300 likely voters conducted Nov. 4-6 reinforces the dilemma Obama now faces with Afghanistan.

Read John Zogby’s column at Forbes.com that discusses the latest public opinion on the War in Afghanistan and finds several similarities to the Vietnam War.

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Paul John Zogby, war , , , , ,

About those independent voters…

November 9th, 2009

We at Zogby have noticed that it is not uncommon for political analysts to treat moderate and independent voters as equivalent. However, in our recent Huffington Post article, we show that these two groups, while overlapping, are not the same. And in the case where main parties are strategizing to attract more voters, this distinction can be important.

Moderates are an ideological group that sits in the middle of ideological continuum between conservatives and liberals. On the other hand, independents are a group of people that doesn’t belong to the two main parties. Many of them are ideologically moderate, but important numbers of them aren’t, and the overall ideology of independents is tilted towards the right.

This fact is relevant for the discussion of whether Republican Party should become more or less conservative. On one hand, its members clearly want it to be more conservative, and this could attract some independent conservatives. On the other hand, if it moves too far, it will alienate independent moderates, a crucial swing-vote.

So the answer is, in a sense, that it should be both. This might sound impossible, but look at the Democrats! They have managed to capture both moderates and liberals.  Such a large coalition is not always the easiest thing to manage but it is the only way for either party to be in power.

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Zeljka future, ideology, politics , ,

Is Obama Abandoning Progressive Causes?

November 4th, 2009

One-Third of 18-24 Year Olds: Obama Is Abandoning Progressive Causes

By Alexander Heffner / November 4th, 2009

 

As important as the youth demographic was in electing Barack Obama to the White House, it seems young Americans have lost faith in the president’s political motives.

According to a new ScoopDaily/Zogby poll, 30% of Americans between the ages of 18 and 24 believe that President Obama is “abandoning many of the progressive causes he championed during his campaign.” In addition, only 44% of 18- to 24-year-olds firmly believe he is still “working as hard as he can to fulfill” those same progressive causes.

Is President Obama abandoning liberal principles he heralded during the campaign? Compared to a slimmer averaged 20% across the older demographics, 18 to 24 year-olds say yes.

Overall, only slightly more than half (54%) of Americans view Obama as sticking to his campaign goals.

Minorities seem to give the first black president the benefit of the doubt more often. African-American (74%), Asian (60%) and Jewish (64%) citizens all believe in Obama’s work toward progressive causes significantly more than white or Christian Americans. Hispanics (53%) are the only minority who isn’t as confident.

Ideological inclinations provide little surprise, as liberals backed Obama and conservatives showed less faith. Conservatives and moderates agreed at the same rate (23%) about abandonment, but twice as many conservatives answered neither yes nor no, perhaps because a ‘yes’ would nullify their dislike for his policies while ‘no’ would give him credit for accomplishing the change he promised.

“I think that growing disillusionment with Obama is not a surprise. In the first year of his presidency, he does not have a winning record toward meeting the promises he’s made,” responded Mary Jane O’Malley, a 2009 graduate of the University of Colorado and a Tulsa Corps Teach for America volunteer.

However, O’Malley notes that the that notion of abandonment is likely “premature.”

Gillian Evans, a sophomore Georgetown University, is among the most troubled about Obama’s presidency on the anniversary of his election.

“Not that the alternative candidate provided much to chose from, and I don’t blame young Americans for overwhelmingly supporting Obama,” she concedes.

“But I do think that their expectations were astronomical and unfounded,” Evans says, “and most Americans who were swept up in Obama fever believed that all Americans were behind Obama.”

Adelaide Elm Kimball, a board member of Vote Smart, the nonpartisan electoral outreach organization, cited “the post-election hard realities of the national economy” as deeply entrenched problems that will not be resolved overnight.

“The disservice that…both major parties do the public is lead them to expect that solutions can be quickly found for our enormous problems,” continued Kimball, “Young people are no different than the rest of us in that respect.”

Matt Bai, a senior writer for The New York Times Magazine who has examined President Obama as well as former President Clinton’s centrist political persona and triangulation, warns young Americans that “Centrists always disappoint, and Obama is a centrist.”

Still, he adds, “Obama as a sellout seems like a pretty tough case to make, given the record, but younger voters have less context and more fervor.”

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Steph Uncategorized , , , , , ,

War on Terror

November 2nd, 2009

In a recent Zogby Interactive survey of adults nationwide, respondents were asked to choose a statement that came closest to their view on the War on Terror. About 45% of the respondents strongly or somewhat agreed that our efforts in the War on Terror should focus on addressing anti-American sentiment in the world, compared to 37% of the respondents who strongly or somewhat agreed that our efforts in the War on Terror should focus on using military force. About 18% of the respondents chose “none of the above” or “not sure.”

Significant differences were found between ideological groups. Seventy-seven percent of liberals are in favor of focusing on anti-American sentiment, compared to 18% of conservatives who think so. Moderates are leaning towards liberals on this issue; sixty-one percent of them believe that dealing with anti-American sentiment should be the priority. Around two-thirds (67%) of conservatives believe that the focus should be on using military force, compared to 22% of moderates and 4% of liberals who believe so.

Where do you stand on this issue? If you believe that anti-American sentiment in the world is the primary issue here, what do you think should be done to address it? If you think that our efforts in the War on Terror should focus on using military force, what do you think would be the best course of action for the government?

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Grace military, peace, politics, war , ,

Top Question Tuesday 10/27/09

October 27th, 2009

Welcome to this week’s edition of Top Question Tuesday. Last week’s winning question asked people if they think Americans should be allowed to smoke marijuana for medicinal purposes.  We’ll put this question on an upcoming interactive survey and blog about the results soon.

This week’s user-submitted survey questions are below. The questions are shortened to save space on our blog post, but these are the basic ideas. Take a look through and then vote for the question you’d most like to see on a Zogby Interactive survey. As a reminder, if you’d like to submit a question to be considered for a Top Question Tuesday Zogby survey, use the “Top Question Tuesday” box on the right of the page. And if you’d like to join Zogby’s interactive panel to answer questions similar to these, click here.

1. Some scientists suggest there is no link between cell phone usage and cancer; other scientists argue there is a link. How concerned are you that long-term cell phone usage can cause cancer?

2. As the holiday season approaches, are you looking forward to the season, dreading the season, or somewhere in the middle?

3. Have you already or do you plan to see the Michael Jackson movie, ‘This Is It’?

Top Question Tuesday 10/27/09

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Leann Uncategorized , ,

Different options

October 24th, 2009

The November election is fast approaching and multiple races are gaining steam. One of those battles is a special election in our own neighborhood, New York’s 23th Congressional District, where a three-way race features Democrat Bill Owens, a Republican Dede Scozzafava, and one Doug Hoffman, who failed to secure Republican nomination and is now running as a Conservative Party candidate. However, this congressional race raises  a lot of passion all over the country as well, with prominent Republicans, such as Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin taking opposing sides, and many notable commentators weighing in.

According to some commentators, the race is important because it might be a sign of things to come in the next election. The congressional seat in question has been in Republican hands for over a hundred years. If it turned blue, it would, at the very least, diminish some Democratic anxieties regarding the next election. However, many commentators also see the race as a gauge of the strength of conflicting strategic and ideological currents within Republican Party, with one side arguing for moderation and a move to the center, and the other side arguing for less compromise on principles and more ideological clarity. However, the interpretation of this election as a clash of visions has also been challenged.

Are you following this race? Do you think it will be a reliable sign of the things to come in 2010? Which  strategy do you think would bring Republicans more power: moving towards the center or articulating a clearer ideology at the cost of moving away from the center? Do you think the importance of that narrative has been exaggerated?

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Zeljka future, ideology, politics , ,

Does the Punishment Always Fit the Crime?

October 23rd, 2009

Today’s Zogby blog post comes courtesy of Cheryl Korn, a Writer/Analyst with Zogby International, and an avid hockey fan since she was old enough to follow and understand the game. Thanks Cheryl!

Patrick Kane, a forward with the Chicago Blackhawks of the National Hockey League (NHL), made history by scoring the first NHL goal in Finland. This is most likely a moment Kane will carry with him for the rest of his life. But what will he remember about pleading guilty to a noncriminal charge of disorderly conduct after being accused of assaulting a cab driver over a fare dispute this past summer?

Kane could have faced up to 15 days in jail and a $250 fine, but the judge in Kane’s case issued him a conditional discharge. This meant he would avoid facing jail time as long as he does not run into problems with the law for a year. Kane was also ordered to make a statement of apology to the cab driver.

Luckily for Kane, everything seems to be neatly swept under the rug. The NHL has not chosen to punish him for his actions off the ice this past summer. However, how well does this lack of punishment sit with hockey fans and the general public?

According to a recent Zogby Interactive survey, 65% of adults nationwide agree that regardless of Kane’s guilty plea, he should face some sort of disciplinary action from the NHL. Respondents age 65 and older (70%) and parents of children under the age of 17 (69%) are among the most likely to agree. Eighteen percent of those surveyed do not agree and believe Kane should not face any disciplinary action from the NHL.

Electronic Arts Sports’ (EA Sports) NHL 10 was released on September 15. This release featured Kane’s image, and the software company has not said anything about replacing Kane’s image on the cover because of the off-ice incident this past summer. Clearly, this lack of action does not sit well with some. Our survey shows that 42% believe EA Sports should change the cover of the game and remove Kane’s image. Respondents ages 50-64 (48%) and 65 and older (47%) and parents of children under the age of 17 (44%) are among the most likely to agree that the cover should be changed. Three in ten (31%) do not agree that Kane’s image should be removed, with First Globals™ (18-29 year olds) (44%) among the most likely to say that Kane’s image should remain on the cover.

What is your opinion about this? How does this situation compare to the incident a few years ago where former Vancouver Canuck Todd Bertuzzi issued former Colorado Av Steve Moore a check into the boards? The play would end Moore’s hockey playing career. As you may recall, the referee during the game did not call a penalty as the check was deemed legal. However, Bertuzzi was later suspended by the NHL due to the severity of Moore’s injuries. Clearly, Kane could have seriously injured the cab driver during the incident, so why is the NHL continuing to look the other way? Did the NHL “miss the call” by not issuing Kane a suspension or some type of disciplinary action for his conduct off the ice this past summer?

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ZogbyFeaturedContributor culture, lifestyles , , , , , , , , ,

Better or Worse?

October 20th, 2009

A lot has changed in America over the past year. We have a new President and a new administration. Healthcare reform is now on the front burner. Swine flu fears are making headlines. But some things haven’t changed: Troops remain in Iraq and Afghanistan, and a new surge may be in the works. The recession continues, with unemployment hitting record highs and no one really sure when and if the nation’s economy will bounce back.

The latest Zogby Interactive survey shows President Barack Obama’s job performance rating has fallen slightly to 49%. Just over a year ago, former President George W. Bush hit a record low of just 21% in Zogby telephone polling as he neared the end of his second term and the November election loomed.

While our latest polling shows 42% of likely voters say the nation is headed in the right direction and 51% believe it is off on the wrong track, Americans were much more pessimistic about the state of the country a year ago. In October of last year, three in four Americans believe the country was headed on the wrong track and just 18% believed the U.S. was headed in the right direction. A year ago, under the Bush administration, there was strong dissatisfaction with the direction the country was headed from all sides of the political spectrum – 84% of Democrats, 79% of self-identified political independents, and even 64% of Republicans felt this way. Fast forward to today, under the Obama administration, and views on the direction the country is headed have become increasingly partisan. Our latest survey shows while 90% of Republicans believe the U.S. is on the wrong track, just 15% of Democrats feel the same. Among independents, 55% believe the country is on the wrong track.

Do you think the country is better off today than at this time last year, and has the change in administrations made a difference either way? Do you think American will be in a better or worse place a year from now?

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Steph Uncategorized , , , , , , ,

Peace in our time

October 10th, 2009

To the surprise of many, President Obama has been awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. The reaction at home has been mixed, with criticisms being raised not only by conservative but also liberal writers. Reactions abroad appear to be following the same line, with some writers suggesting that the president should not have accepted the prize.

Why do you think the President was awarded the Prize? Do you believe that it enhances the prestige of the President and/or the prize? Do you think it helps sustain and enhance the world’s peace?

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Zeljka future, global issues, international, peace, politics , ,